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viernes, 26 de noviembre de 2010

¿BRASIL IS REALLY AN INDUSTRIAL EXPORTER?


ENGLISH TRANSLATED 
 DR LUCAS LLACH BLOG


RICS
26/11/2010

I get data on the composition of Brazilian exports. Primary products account for 40% of the expo. Semi-manufactured goods, 14%. Manufacturing, 44%. These rankings are always debatable. For example: the first fifteen lines of manufactures account for 18% of total exports, but that 18% third is contributed by the following areas: sugar refined fuel oils, iron sheets, ethyl alcohol and gasoline aluminum oxides ; all worth less than $ 1000 a tonne. For reference, a ton of soybeans is worth circa $ 400. I mean we're not talking about microchips, biogenetic or anything like it.Raw sugar (which is between the semi and represents 3.9% of total exports from Brazil) and refined sugar (1.6% of domestic sales), two Brazilian products for 1500, representing more currencies for Brazil than the sum of Embraer and cars, including plug us to us through the Fort Mercosur, which together reach 4.6% of total exports. More sugar than cars and airplanes combined. And that's to say nothing of crude iron (8.6%), soybeans and soybean residues (12%) or oil is the "replacement industry."Brazil has no BRIC destination: it has, like us, the destination of supplier of raw materials for BRIC. I say the RIC.EX-POST: A graph and a comment. The graph:

 


Comment: OK, what defines the BRICs is its export basket. In fact, no one knows exactly what the essence of the BRIC, unless large population and a GDP per capita is very high (although much higher in Russia than in China or Brazil and India). However, the general point is that banks in Brazil, we love Brazil, but we do not like the Argentines who spend their lives repeating "We're not Brazil," as if our neighbor out or very rich or very dynamic and very industrial-exporter or very fair. It is none of those things. Baideuei: of the 67 billion that Brazil exported manufactured goods in 2009, 12 thousand we sold them to us. 18%, courtesy of the Fort Mercosur because our market is only 0.5% of the global economy.

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